Nomination predictions for the 2019 Golden Globes

As I say every single year, predicting the Golden Globes is fraught with problems. They are the most unpredictable awards of the season, and there’s really no knowing what wacky choices they’ll make this year. There’s always a few picks from out of nowhere plus a few mega-celebrity nominations, based solely on the hope they’ll show up to the ceremony. But in a season without a solid Best Picture frontrunner and an already topsy-turvy pre-season, these nominations could actually make or break a few Oscar campaigns. Good lord.

It’s fairly certain we’ll see plenty of love for the four frontrunners in A Star Is Born, The Favourite, Green Book, and BlacKkKlansman plus attention for late-comers Mary Poppins Returns and Vice. And this could be the biggest hurdle for Widows and First Man, both early contenders who seem to have run out of steam the last few weeks. If they both get snubbed outside the acting categories (as I’m sadly predicting), their Best Picture campaigns are cooked. Keep an eye out for Eighth Grade. If it takes one of the five Comedy/Musical Picture spots and/or pops up elsewhere, it’s undoubtedly become a serious contender.

But the big question mark centres around Black Panther. If it takes a Drama Picture nomination, its Best Picture campaign takes a huge leap forward. If it misses, it’s not all over, but it will make its journey to Oscar night a little tougher. You don’t necessarily need a Golden Globe Best Picture nomination to receive the same from the Academy. Last year, Darkest Hour and Phantom Thread were overlooked by the HFPA in the Drama category, and still ultimately scored Best Picture nominations. But they didn’t have the dreaded “superhero film” tag Black Panther is desperately trying to move beyond. A tick of approval from the Golden Globes will only help the film’s cause.

As always, take these predictions with a grain of salt. The HFPA are often dazzled by celebrity over performance, so there could be a whole host of shockers coming. Alas, here are my final predictions for the Golden Globes film nominations for 2019.

MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
A Star Is Born
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
If Beale Street Could Talk

Alternate: First Man

BEST ACTOR – MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA
Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
Ryan Gosling – First Man
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

Alternate: Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate

BEST ACTRESS – MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA
Yalitza Aparicio – Roma
Glenn Close – The Wife
Viola Davis – Widows
Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Alternate: Nicole Kidman – Destroyer

MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
Green Book
Mary Poppins Returns
Vice

Alternate: Eighth Grade

BEST ACTOR – MOTION PICTURE, COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Christian Bale – Vice
Lin-Manuel Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun
John C. Reilly – Stan and Ollie

Alternate: Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool 2

BEST ACTRESS – MOTION PICTURE, COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
Charlize Theron – Tully
Constance Wu – Crazy Rich Asians

Alternate: Kathryn Hahn – Private Life

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
Hugh Grant – Paddington 2
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Alternate: Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams – Vice
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone – The Favourite
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite
Michelle Yeoh – Crazy Rich Asians

Alternate: Claire Foy – First Man

DIRECTING
Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman

Alternate: Ryan Coogler – Black Panther

SCREENPLAY
A Star Is Born
BlacKkKlansman
The Favourite
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk

Alternate: Roma

ANIMATED FEATURE
The Grinch
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Alternate: Smallfoot

ORIGINAL SCORE
BlacKkKlansman
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Mary Poppins Returns
Widows

Alternate: Black Panther

ORIGINAL SONG
“Shallow” – A Star Is Born
“All The Stars” – Black Panther
“Revelation” – Boy Erased
“The Place Where Lost Things Go” – Mary Poppins Returns
“Here Comes the Change” – On the Basis of Sex

Alternate: “Ashes” – Deadpool 2

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Capernaum (Lebanon)
Cold War (Poland)
The Guilty (Denmark)
Roma (Mexico)
Shoplifters (Japan)

Alternate: Burning (South Korea)

Advertisements