It sucks to be the early frontrunner. Just ask Boyhood, Lincoln or The Social Network. Taking the lead early in awards season often means that film will ultimately lose. So does that mean it's all over for Spotlight? Hold your horses. There's still light at the end of the tunnel. Let's take a look at why it still may win and why it's destined to lose. For: The actor vote. If nothing else, Spotlight is a true ensemble film and a true actor's piece. Even though Ruffalo and McAdams have been singled out, it...

With his follow-up to last year's Best Picture winner, Birdman, Alejandro Inarritu has done it again. What was at first assumed to just be a vehicle for Leo to finally win an Oscar (and put an end to all those fucking memes) has quickly turned into a serious contender to sweep the whole damn ceremony. But The Revenant still has some obstacles to overcome, if it wants to follow the path of Birdman. Let's take a closer look. For: The last frontrunner takes it. It's an almost irrefutable fact the film with the most buzz...

A few months before awards season began, The Big Short wasn't even on anyone's radar. But due to Paramount's shrewd decision to surprise us all and give the film a December release, it has come from nowhere to be a serious awards contender. Does it have the power to continue to surprise and take the big prize of Best Picture? Let's take a look at the case for and against The Big Short. For: That "surprise" PGA win. I put surprise in inverted commas because it wasn't a surprise to yours...

The craziest awards season we've seen in years is potentially about to get even crazier, with the Oscar nominations due to be announced just after midnight tonight (Australian time). With only a month to go, we still genuinely have no idea who will win most categories which is fun in a way. Usually at least we have a fair lock on what will be nominated, but not this year. As I always say, take these predictions with a grain of salt. I'm just going with my gut here, but this year,...

A new tradition was born last year, and it's time to keep it going. You should know by now I love a good awards show. Last year I created my own awards show with my own categories, nominees and winners. It's my way of having a little control over an industry I have literally zero control over. Bazinga. All in all, it was a fabulous year in film, so choosing this year's lucky nominees and winners was another exhaustive process. But there were some stinkers, and they get their...

It's been a year since we lost one of the greatest talents the world has ever known. Even after twelve months, it still doesn't quite seem real. Just remembering learning the news and being forced to hold in the grief over a full day of work (it was announced at 9am Sydney time) still seems like some horrible dream we're all going to wake up from. We know he's gone, but it's not a notion one can easily accept. I started writing this piece a few days after he died,...

I was going to write a proper film review of the reboot/re-launch/re-imagining/re-whatever of Fantastic Four. Instead, I've decided to just rip this film apart. I'm not being a jerk. This film has it coming. A review can only be written on a film where at least something works. Nothing works in this film. Nothing. It is the most inexplicably terrible piece of cinema I have had the displeasure of watching this year. It's not often that I advise people not to see a film. Films are subjective, so...

When I do my predictions next year, if I say anything along the lines of it being an "unpredictable year", you have my permission to promptly slap me in the face. Despite all the discussion about how the winner of each category was so wildly difficult to nail down, everything pretty much went to plan, besides perhaps one major shocker. I am being completely genuine when I say that I was totally surprised to keep placing a tick next to prediction after prediction on my list. In the end, I walked away with three...

Well, the day has arrived. After what feels like a longer-than-usual awards season, and an enormous amount of back-and-forth on these predictions, the time has come to lock them in. I haven't been this doubtful about the majority of my predictions in many years. There's been a few tricky categories over the past couple of seasons, but nothing like this year. Even at this late hour, I have absolutely no idea what will win Best Picture. I think my 'for and against' series of posts made my mind...